★ B+ Setup
Pullback Long (Cleaner Entry)
- Zone
- 6,616–6,611
- Trigger
- Pullback into 6,616 / 6,611; Buyers step in / holds as support
- Target
- 6,639 → 6,658
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 6,600
This is the better long vs chasing highs. Let it come to you.
Friday 20 March 2026 · /ES · 30m
3/20 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral → Bullish above 6,639 / Bearish below 6,611
Early reclaim attempt → watching for breakout vs failed push
Key levels
6,700–6,715Resistance · extension
6,654–6,658Resistance · major reclaim level
6,639Resistance · Current high / breakout level
6,616Support · Intraday pivot (new key level)
6,611Support · Demand / breakdown trigger
6,578–6,573Support · downside target
Context
Overnight low printed at 6,607, and we’ve now reclaimed 6,616 and pushed into 6,639. That tells us: Sellers failed to continue lower (for now) Market is attempting early expansion higher BUT… we’re not clean yet. This current move can still turn into a failed breakout → pullback into 6,616 / 6,611. 30M CHART
A+ Setup
Breakout Continuation
- Zone
- Above 6,639
- Trigger
- Break and hold above 6,639; No immediate rejection
- Target
- 6,654–6,658 → 6,680
- Invalidation
- Loss of 6,620
Only take if it accepts above, not a wick-through fake.
A+ Setup
Failed Breakout (Trap Short)
- Zone
- 6,639 → failure back below
- Trigger
- Break above 6,639; Immediate rejection; Loss of 6,631
- Target
- 6,616 → 6,611
- Invalidation
- Acceptance above 6,650
This is the “gotcha” move—don’t be the breakout buyer here.
A+ Setup
Breakdown Continuation
- Zone
- Below 6,611
- Trigger
- Loss of 6,611; Failed reclaim
- Target
- 6,580 → 6,573
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 6,631
Same as before—needs acceptance or it’s noise.
Confirmation
- 1️⃣ 15m acceptance (not wicks)
- 2️⃣ Reaction at 6,639 or 6,616
- 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
- 4️⃣ Trade extremes only
- No chasing highs
- No trading middle (6,620–6,630 chop)
- No revenge after first loss
Mindset
- Market is trying to break out early, but hasn’t proven it yet.
- 6,639 → breakout trigger
- 6,616 → support test
- 6,611 → failure point
- If breakout is real → it won’t come back deep.
- If it pulls back hard → breakout likely fails.
Best window
10–11:30AM
How it played out
The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.
reached 6611 but never confirmed. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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