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Latest plan · Thursday 24 September 2026

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/ES (December Contract)

9/24 Trade Plan

Neutral between 7707 and 7741 (50DMA to 20DMA)

7779Resistance · overnight high

7759Resistance · prior-day low

7741Resistance · 20DMA

7720Support · 50DMA

7707Support · overnight low

7663Support · 100DMA

★ Highest Probability

7720 50DMA Hold Long

Trigger: Price tests the 7707–7720 zone, holds, then produces a 15m close back above 7720. Enter on the confirmed reclaim, not on the touch.
Target: 7741 → 7759 → 7779
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7707 (overnight low)

Second Opportunity

7741 20DMA Reclaim Long

Trigger: Price reclaims 7741 and holds above it; continuation through 7759 is the stronger confirmation. Take the reclaim and retest/hold, don't chase the first break.
Target: 7759 → 7779
Invalidation: Loss of 7720 after a failed reclaim

Only If

7741–7759 Rejection Short

Trigger: Price rallies into 7741–7759, fails to reclaim/hold it, then confirms by moving back below the rejection structure. Do not short the first touch.
Target: 7720 → 7707 → 7675 → 7663
Invalidation: Sustained acceptance above 7759

Don't trade the level. Trade what price does at the level.

The plan scorecard

Every plan stays up. Check how it played out.

DateBiasPrimary setupOutcome

9/23Bullish above 78227822 Demand Hold LongNot scored yet 9/22Bullish above 7810.5/overnight low7850 Break & Retest Longno trigger 9/21Bullish above 7738/20DMA7738 + 20DMA Retest Longno trigger 9/18Bullish above 7700/20DMA7700 / 20DMA Hold Longunresolved 9/17Neutral → Bullish above 77107702 + 20DMA Reclaim Longhit 9/16Neutral → Bullish above 77137710 + 20DMA Reclaim Longno trigger

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ATAS indicatorRAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels$30 ~~$55~~ATAS template · ESRAIN Break & Retest Footprint (ES)$50 ~~$65~~ATAS template · NQRAIN Break & Retest Footprint (NQ)$50 ~~$65~~ATAS indicatorATR Retest Indicator$30 ~~$65~~

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Location

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