ZERODAYTRADES
Join the Discord

Tuesday 13 October 2026 · /ES (December Contract)

10/13 Trade Plan

Bias · Neutral: fade 7864–7870, buy 7827–7840; bearish only on acceptance below 7820 Range → Expansion

Key levels

prior supply (1H highs)7884–7887
supply zone (prior day high, overnight high, lower highs)7864–7870
prior day low7846
demand zone (overnight low 7836, 30M swing lows 7826.75 and 7839.5)7827–7840
1H swing low7803
20DMA / 50DMA (1H swing low 7783)7780–7786

Context

Monday was an inside day, 7846.25–7870, closing at 7856.5 after failing at 7870 again. The highs keep getting lower: 7887, 7884, 7870, 7867.5, and 7864 overnight. Overnight sold on negative delta (−2614) to 7836, under Monday's low, and at 07:30 ES is 7852, in the middle of a 7827–7870 range. The 20DMA (7785.5) and 50DMA (7780.4) are about 70 points below.

▼ Short Highest Probability

7870 Supply Zone Fade Short

Trigger
Push into 7864–7870 (overnight high, Monday's high, another lower high) that stalls with sellers absorbing, then a 15m close back below 7862. No shorting at 7852 in the middle of the range.
Invalid
15m acceptance above 7870. That makes a higher high and breaks the lower-high sequence.
Targets
7846 → 7836 → 7827

Structural invalidation 7876

▲ Long Second Opportunity

7827 Demand Zone Hold Long

Trigger
Flush into 7826.75–7840 that sweeps the 7836 overnight low, finds responsive buying and reclaims, then a 15m close back above 7836.
Invalid
15m acceptance below 7820, under the 7826.75 swing low.
Targets
7852 → 7864 → 7870
Only If

7827 Breakdown

Trigger
Only if ES accepts below 7820, losing the demand zone: a bounce into 7822–7827 that fails with sellers in control, then a 15m close back below 7820.
Invalid
15m acceptance back above 7836, inside the demand zone.
Targets
7803 → 7786

Avoid

  • Trading 7840–7864, the middle between demand and supply. Price is at 7852 at 07:30.
  • Buying a break of 7870 on the first push. The last four tests of 7864–7887 have all failed. Above 7870 there is no plan until 7884–7887 is tested.
  • Treating the 20DMA/50DMA at 7780–7786 as a trade level today. It is a target only, about 70 points away.
  • Stops right on 7870 or 7827. Recent edges were swept by 2–3 ticks before they turned.

Focus · if → then

  • 7864–7870 stalls → short → 7846 → 7836 → 7827
  • 7836 swept and 7827 holds → long → 7852 → 7864 → 7870
  • Lose 7820 → breakdown → 7803 → 7786; accept above 7870 → stand aside until 7884–7887

Today's reminder

Lower highs into 7870 mean the fade comes first; the trades are at 7864–7870 and 7827, not at 7852.

How it played out

Not scored yet. Every plan is checked against what the market actually did, and nothing is edited after the fact.

Get tomorrow's plan before the open.

Free, every trading day. Plans go out by email and stay here in the archive.

No signals, no spam. Prefer chat? Join the Discord.

Drawn with

RAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels$30 →RAIN Break & Retest Footprint (ES)$50 →

Earlier plans

10/127887 Supply Zone Fade Short10/97860 Lower-High Fade Short10/87816 Break & Retest Short10/77829 Breakout Base Hold Long