★ Highest Probability
7700 + 7713 Reclaim Long
- Trigger
- Reclaim 7700 and 7713, then hold above 7713.
- Target
- 7724 → 7739/7740
- Invalidation
- Lose 7700 after the reclaim.
Tuesday 15 September 2026 · /ES (September Contract)
9/15 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral → Bullish above 7713
Range / Decision Zone
Key levels
7724–7739Resistance
7700Resistance · → 7713
7686–7690Resistance
7665–7664Support
Context
ES found support at 7665 and is holding above the 50DMA at 7664. The next decision is 7713 20DMA. We either lose 7665 and open downside, or reclaim 7713 and push higher.
Second Opportunity
7637–7648 Demand Hold Long
- Trigger
- Hold/reclaim 7637–7648 with responsive buying.
- Target
- 7665 → 7700
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7637.
Only If
7637 Breakdown Short
- Trigger
- Clean break below 7637 + failed retest.
- Target
- 7600
- Invalidation
- Reclaim 7637.
Focus · if → then
- 7637–7648 holds → 7665 → 7700
- 7700 + 7713 reclaim → 7724 → 7739/7740
- 7637 fails → 7600
Today's reminder
We're still in a sideways structure. Don't manufacture trades inside the range—wait for the level to prove itself.
How it played out
The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.
reached 7700 but never confirmed. Measured from m15 bars, ESZ6, confirm entry, close beyond the level invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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