★ Highest Probability
7687–7691 Pop & Fade Short
- Trigger
- Rejection and failure to reclaim 7687–7691.
- Target
- 7654 → 7647
- Invalidation
- Acceptance above 7691.
Wednesday 9 September 2026 · /ES (September Contract)
9/9 Trade Plan
Bias · Bearish below 7687–7691
Weak / Lower-High Structure
Key levels
7724–7739Resistance · Major Supply
7687–7691Resistance
7654–7647Support · Demand
Context
The 20DMA rejections remain clear, with 7724–7739 still acting as major supply. ES is now rejecting 7687–7691, creating another lower high and failing back below Wednesday's high. As long as we remain below 7687–7691, downside favors 7654–7647 demand.
Second Opportunity
PDL Rejection Short
- Trigger
- Rejection of PDL after a bounce.
- Target
- 7654 → 7647
- Invalidation
- Reclaim and hold above PDL.
Only If
7691 Reclaim Long
- Trigger
- Reclaim and hold above 7687–7691.
- Target
- 7724 → 7739
- Invalidation
- Failed reclaim back below 7687.
Avoid
- Chasing shorts directly into 7654–7647 demand.
- Forcing longs below 7687–7691.
- Trading the middle of the range without confirmation.
Focus · if → then
- 7687–7691 rejects → 7654–7647
- PDL rejects → 7654–7647
- 7691 reclaims → 7724 → 7739
Today's reminder
The lower high is the setup. Respect the rejection and let price prove the reclaim.
How it played out
The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.
price never reached 7687. Measured from m15 bars, ESU6, confirm entry, close beyond the level invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
Get tomorrow's plan before the open.
Free, every trading day. Plans go out by email and stay here in the archive.
No signals, no spam. Prefer chat? Join the Discord.