★ Highest Probability
7620–7628 Pullback Long
- Trigger
- Pullback holds 7620–7628 and buyers confirm the higher low.
- Target
- 7667 → 7672
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7620.
Friday 11 September 2026 · /ES (September Contract)
9/11 Trade Plan
Bias · Bullish above 7620
Bullish flip / Pullback
Key levels
7691Resistance
7667–7672Resistance · Supply
7620–7628Support
50DMASupport
Context
ES is attempting a bullish flip by reclaiming the 7620–7628 area and holding above the 50DMA. If buyers defend this zone and establish a higher low, the path higher opens toward 7667–7672 supply. Above 7672, the next target is 7691.
Second Opportunity
7672 Reclaim Long
- Trigger
- Clean reclaim and hold above 7672.
- Target
- 7691
- Invalidation
- Failed reclaim back below 7672.
Only If
7620 Breakdown Short
- Trigger
- Clean break below 7620 followed by a failed retest.
- Target
- Intraday downside / scalp only.
- Invalidation
- Reclaim of 7620.
Avoid
- Chasing longs into 7667–7672 supply.
- Shorting while 7620–7628 continues to hold.
- Forcing trades in the middle of the range.
Focus · if → then
- 7620–7628 holds → 7667–7672
- 7672 reclaims → 7691
- 7620 fails → downside scalp
Today's reminder
7620–7628 is the flip. Hold the higher low, then let price work higher.
How it played out
The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.
price never reached 7620. Measured from m15 bars, ESU6, confirm entry, close beyond the level invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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