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Wednesday 11 February 2026 · /ES · 1 HR

2/11 Trade Plan

Bias · Neutral → Prefer pullback before continuation 7,000 wall → Pullback test → Structure decides

Key levels

7,030–7,043Resistance · ATH test zone
7,000–7,006Resistance · Psych wall / immediate ceiling
6,920Support · Monday low / key structure
6,870Support · 100DMA / LVN fill destination
20Support · / 50 DMA — First pullback test

Context

7,000 is doing what big psych levels do — stalling price. I don’t want to be aggressive long into that ceiling. If we’re going higher, it should come from a better location, not from chasing round numbers. The cleaner idea: 👉 Pull back into 6,920 / 20–50DMA 👉 Let buyers prove themselves 👉 If 6,920 fails, low-volume pocket opens This is a location game today. Patience > prediction.

★ A+ Setup

Pullback Long (Primary)

Zone
20/50DMA into 6,920; Acceptance below 6,920; 7,000–7,006
Trigger
Controlled pullback (not a flush); Rejection wicks at support; Delta stabilizes / turns positive; No acceptance below 6,920; Clean loss of 6,920; Failed reclaim; Lower high on retest; Delta negative; VWAP above price; Pop into level; Immediate stall; Absorption at highs
Target
7,000 → 7,006 → Extension: 7,030 → 6,886 → 6,870 (100DMA / LVN fill) → 6,920
Invalidation
Acceptance below 6,920; Reclaim above 6,920; Clean acceptance above 7,006

We want a retest and defend, not a straight-line continuation.; If it holds cleanly, that’s your fuel for upside.; 🔴 Breakdown Setup — LVN Fill Short; Below 6,920 the market likely moves faster — that’s a thin pocket.; This is where shorts become interesting.; 🟡 Upper Supply Rejection; Do not chase breakouts into 7,000. Let it clear first.

Confirmation

  • 1️⃣ Directional candle
  • 2️⃣ Delta confirms
  • 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
  • 4️⃣ Reaction at the level — not mid-range
  • No mid-channel trades.

Mindset

  • This is a location over emotion session.
  • If we pull back → great.
  • If we break down → act cleanly.
  • If we sit under 7,000 and chop → do less.
  • You don’t get paid for predicting 7,000.
  • You get paid for trading the reaction to it.
  • SPY (30Min)
  • Being long with the SPY just sitting right below this major ATH... not much risk/reward. Not much run way to make a nice move. I would much prefer we get a pullback to setup a nice pullback long. I like a pullback towards the 20DMA or deeper at the 688 Monday low & 50DMA.
  • If we lose the 50DMA & Monday low, we could see the pullback towards 682/684.

Best window

10–11:00 AM

How it played out

The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.

price never reached 6920. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, close beyond the level invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.

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Drawn with

RAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels$30 →RAIN Break & Retest Footprint (ES)$50 →

Earlier plans

2/10Higher-Low Continuation Long (Primary)2/9Neutral → Reactive at extremes2/6100DMA Reclaim Long (Primary)2/5Breakdown Below 100DMA (Primary)