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Thursday 12 February 2026 · /ES · 30 Min

2/12 Trade Plan

Bias · Neutral → Same structure, same game plan 7,000 ceiling still in play → Pullback preferred

Key levels

7,030–7,043Resistance · ATH test zone
7,000–7,006Resistance · Psych wall
6,920Support · Monday low / key pivot
6,870Support · 100DMA / LVN destination
20Support · / 50 DMA — First reaction zone

Context

No changes. Literally. 7,000 is still tough. Structure is still intact. We’re still sitting under resistance without a proper reset. I’m not interested in being aggressive long into 7,000. If we’re going higher, it should come from a better entry — not hope. The cleanest idea remains: 👉 Pull back 👉 Retest 6,920 / 20–50DMA 👉 Let buyers prove it If that fails, the LVN below opens up.

★ A+ Setup

Pullback Long (Preferred)

Zone
20/50DMA → 6,920; Acceptance below 6,920; Acceptance above 7,006
Trigger
Controlled pullback; Rejection wicks at support; Delta stabilizes; No clean acceptance below 6,920; Clean break; Failed reclaim; Lower high forms; Delta negative; Strong close above; No immediate rejection; Buyers sustain above level
Target
7,000 → 7,006 → Extension: 7,030 → 6,886 → 6,870 (100DMA) → 7,030 → 7,043
Invalidation
Acceptance below 6,920; Reclaim above 6,920; Back below 7,000

Let it come in.; If buyers defend, that’s your fuel for a real break attempt.; 🔴 Breakdown Setup — LVN Fill Short; Below 6,920 the market likely moves quickly — thin area underneath.; That’s where shorts make sense.; 🟡 Breakout Scenario (Only If Earned); No chasing. It must accept, not just tag.

Confirmation

  • 1️⃣ Directional candle
  • 2️⃣ Delta confirms
  • 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
  • 4️⃣ Reaction at the level — not mid-range
  • No mid-channel trades.

Mindset

  • Nothing changed — so don’t invent something.
  • Above 7,006 → continuation.
  • Below 6,920 → rotation lower.
  • Between them → patience.
  • Sometimes discipline is just repeating the same plan until price forces an update.
  • SPY (30Min)
  • Nothing changes for me here... wide range, expect volatility between it. Only moves that matter would be a break & hold below the 50DMA at 687.50 or a hold over ATH at 699.

Best window

10–11:00 AM

How it played out

Not scored yet. Every plan is checked against what the market actually did, and nothing is edited after the fact.

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Drawn with

RAIN High-Probability Reaction Levels$30 →RAIN Break & Retest Footprint (ES)$50 →

Earlier plans

2/11Pullback Long (Primary)2/10Higher-Low Continuation Long (Primary)2/9Neutral → Reactive at extremes2/6100DMA Reclaim Long (Primary)