Wednesday 15 April 2026 · /ES · 30M

4/15 Trade Plan

Bias · Bullish → Bearish only below 6,930 At highs → buy pullbacks or fade failed highs

Key levels

7,077Resistance · ATH
7,027Resistance · current high
6,950–6,930Support · primary pullback
6,900–6,870— 100DMA / deeper supportSupport

Context

Price is pushing into 7,027 (4HR highs) after a strong move up. Trend is clearly bullish, but we are now at extension, not ideal long location. The goal today is simple: Buy pullbacks into value (6,950 / 6,900) Or react if highs fail Above 7,027 opens continuation toward ATH (~7,077), but only if it accepts, not just wicks. Key idea: Trend is up → don’t chase highs Wait for pullback or confirmed breakout

★ B+ Setup

Rejection at Highs

Zone
7,027
Trigger
Push into highs; Clear rejection / failure
Target
6,980 → 6,950
Invalidation
Acceptance above 7,050

👉 Counter-trend scalp only; 👉 Don’t overstay

A+ Setup

Pullback Long (Primary)

Zone
6,950–6,930
Trigger
Pullback into support; Clean hold + higher low
Target
7,027 → 7,077
Invalidation
Acceptance below 6,900

👉 Best trade on the board; 👉 Buy value, not extension

B+ Setup

Deeper Pullback Long

Zone
6,900–6,870
Trigger
Flush into 100DMA; Strong reaction
Target
6,950 → 7,027
Invalidation
Acceptance below 6,850

👉 Stronger support; 👉 Requires patience

A+ Setup

Breakdown Below 6,930

Zone
Below 6,930
Trigger
Loss of support; Failed reclaim
Target
6,900 → 6,880
Invalidation
Reclaim above 6,970

👉 This is the only real bearish shift; 👉 Opens deeper pullback

Confirmation

  • 1️⃣ 30m acceptance at 6,930 or 7,027
  • 2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
  • 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
  • 4️⃣ No chasing highs
  • No longs at highs
  • No chasing breakouts without hold
  • No trading middle

Mindset

  • Trend is strong → respect it
  • Best trades = pullbacks, not tops
  • If it doesn’t pull back → let it go
  • One clean trade → you’re done
  • SPY (30MIN)
  • Major daily highs between 695.29/698.96... this is also the ATH. I would like to see us back to 690 today for a retest long. If we fail the 690, we move into the Monday high at 686.70. Under that, we get our clean downside towards Thur/Fri HOD. Love the 100DMA sitting below action as a pullback long.

Best window

10–11:30AM

How it played out

Not scored yet. Every plan is checked against what the market actually did, and nothing is edited after the fact.

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