★ A+ Setup
Pullback Long (Primary)
- Zone
- 6,888–6,876
- Trigger
- Pullback into 100DMA; Clean hold + higher low
- Target
- 6,950 → 6,964
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 6,850
👉 This is the best trade today; 👉 Buy value, not highs
Tuesday 14 April 2026 · /ES · 30M
4/14 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral → Bullish above 6,964 / Bearish below 6,888
Extended into 6,950 supply → wait for pullback or confirmed breakout
Key levels
7,018Resistance · extension
6,964Resistance · breakout trigger
6,950Resistance · supply
6,888–6,876Support · 100DMA / primary long zone
6,850Support · prior high / secondary support
Context
Price is pushing into 6,950 supply, approaching a key extension area after a strong move higher. This is not where you want to initiate fresh longs. The better opportunity is a pullback into the 100DMA (6,876–6,888), where buyers can step back in. If that fails, we rotate into 6,850 (prior high / strong support). Above, only a clean break and hold above 6,964 opens continuation toward 7,018. Key idea: Extended at highs → don’t chase Wait for pullback or confirmed breakout
B+ Setup
Deeper Pullback Long
- Zone
- 6,850
- Trigger
- Flush into prior high; Strong reaction
- Target
- 6,900 → 6,950
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 6,820
👉 Stronger support; 👉 Requires patience
B+ Setup
Failure Below 100DMA
- Zone
- Below 6,876
- Trigger
- Loss of support; Failed reclaim
- Target
- 6,850
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 6,900
👉 Scalp only; 👉 Counter to overall strength
A+ Setup
Breakout & Hold
- Zone
- Above 6,964
- Trigger
- Break and HOLD above supply; No immediate rejection
- Target
- 7,018
- Invalidation
- Loss of 6,930
👉 Only if it proves; 👉 Don’t chase a wick
Confirmation
- 1️⃣ 30m acceptance at 6,876 or 6,964
- 2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
- 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
- 4️⃣ No chasing highs
- No longs into 6,950 supply
- No trading middle
- No early entries
Mindset
- This is an extension → pullback day
- Best trade = buy the dip, not the top
- If it doesn’t pull back → let it go
- One clean trade → you’re done
- SPY (30MIN)
- Right into our 688/690 target here in the overnight session. I would need to see a pullback towards the 680/682 demand below. Retest the Thur/Fri highs. If we fail that, we trade back to the 100DMA.
- That hold at 678 was really the cleanest hold of the day! Beautiful reclaim of the 100DMA.
Best window
10–11:30AM
How it played out
The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.
price never reached 6876. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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