Tuesday 10 March 2026 · /ES · 30m

3/10 Trade Plan

Bias · Constructive above 6,771 Liquidity sweep at December low → watching for higher low continuation

Key levels

6,921Resistance · 50DMA
6,892Resistance · 100DMA
6,872Resistance · 20DMA
6,840–6,849Resistance · Reclaim pivot
6,832Resistance · Overnight high
6,771Support · December low / structural pivot
6,762Support · Overnight liquidity sweep
6,688Support · 200DMA

Context

Overnight we printed a 6,818 high, then sold off into 6,762, briefly sweeping below the December low (6,771) before buyers stepped in aggressively. That sweep likely cleared liquidity sitting under the level. Price then rebounded to the overnight high at 6,832 and is now rotating between 6,818 and ~6,800. The structural shift here is important: The market swept the key level and reclaimed it, which often sets up a higher-low continuation pattern rather than immediate breakdown. As long as 6,771 holds, the market has room to build higher toward 6,840–6,849 and eventually test the daily moving averages overhead. A clean loss of 6,771, however, invalidates the sweep and likely rotates price toward the 200DMA at 6,688.

★ A+ Setup

Sweep & Hold Long (Primary)

Zone
6,771–6,780
Trigger
Pullback into the zone; Buyers defend 6,771 again; 30min higher low forms
Target
6,818 → 6,832 → 6,849
Invalidation
30min acceptance below 6,771

The overnight move likely cleared liquidity under the December low. If that sweep holds, trapped shorts often fuel the bounce higher.

A+ Setup

Reclaim Momentum Long

Zone
Above 6,849
Trigger
30min close above 6,849; Retest holds as support
Target
6,872 (20DMA) → 6,892 (100DMA) → 6,921 (50DMA)
Invalidation
Loss of 6,832

A+ Setup

Failed Sweep Breakdown

Zone
Below 6,771
Trigger
30min close below the level; Failed reclaim
Target
6,720 → 6,688 (200DMA)
Invalidation
Reclaim of 6,780; 🧠 Structural Edge (Sniper Entry Concept); The key structure today is the liquidity sweep → reclaim pattern.; Best entries come from:; 1️⃣ Sweep of a key level; 2️⃣ Immediate reclaim; 3️⃣ Higher low forming above the sweep; That sequence often marks short-term exhaustion of sellers and creates the highest-probability continuation entries.

Confirmation

  • 1️⃣ Directional 30min close
  • 2️⃣ Reaction quality at 6,771 pivot
  • 3️⃣ VWAP alignment
  • 4️⃣ Trade structure extremes
  • No mid-range trades
  • No chasing momentum
  • SPY (30 Min)
  • Look for pullback longs at 675 today. This would also be Thursday lows and Friday highs. If we fail below 674.60 and the overnight low, we'll see downside towards 670 again for a potential pullback long. Heavy supply starts again at 683 and the daily 100 and daily 20.

Best window

10–11:00 AM

How it played out

The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.

price never reached 6771. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, close beyond the level invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.

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