★ A+ Setup
Pullback Long at 7,470 (Primary)
- Zone
- 7,470
- Trigger
- Pullback into ONL support; Buyers defend / higher low forms
- Target
- 7,499 → 7,500+
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7,455
👉 Cleanest continuation setup; 👉 Best location intraday
Thursday 14 May 2026 · /ES · 15m
5/14 Trade Plan
Bias · Bullish above 7,450 / Bearish below 7,450
Waiting for the pullback → 7,450 is the key decision level
Key levels
7,450Support · primary retest support
7,427–7,425Support · secondary demand
ATH / extension highsResistance
PDL — deeper supportSupport
Context
ES extended overnight, printing a new overnight high at 7,499, with buyers defending the overnight low at 7,470. That changes the structure slightly: 7,470 = first support / ONL 7,450 = major retest support 7,499 = breakout decision level The market is strong, but we are now extended again. Key idea: Don’t chase highs Wait for pullback support to prove itself
A Setup
Deep Pullback Long
- Zone
- 7,450
- Trigger
- Flush into major support; Strong reclaim / buyers step in
- Target
- 7,470 → 7,499
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7,435
👉 Higher confidence if reached; 👉 Strong RR setup
A Setup
Breakout Above 7,499
- Zone
- Above 7,499
- Trigger
- Break and HOLD above overnight highs; No immediate rejection
- Target
- Price discovery / extension
- Invalidation
- Loss of 7,485
👉 Only if it proves; 👉 No FOMO breakout chasing
A Setup
Breakdown Below 7,450
- Zone
- Below 7,450
- Trigger
- Loss of support; Failed reclaim
- Target
- 7,427 → PDL
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 7,465
👉 Real downside only starts here
Confirmation
- 1️⃣ 15m acceptance at 7,470 or 7,499
- 2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
- 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
- 4️⃣ No chasing highs
- No emotional breakout longs
- No random shorts above support
- No trading middle
Mindset
- The move already happened → now wait for location
- Best trade = patience into support
- No need to be first
- One clean trade → done
- SPY (15 MIN)
- I would want a pullback long at the 740 spot on SPY. Without that, you are slightly extended past the best retest level. If we hold over PDH, we could just continue higher but to setup a proper new entry, wait for that Monday retest.
Best window
10–11:30AM
How it played out
The primary setup never confirmed, so there was no trade.
price never reached 7470. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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