★ A+ Setup
Deep Pullback Long
- Zone
- 7,410–7,402
- Trigger
- Flush into reclaimed support; Strong reclaim / buyers step in
- Target
- 7,425 → 7,450
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7,390
👉 Higher confidence if reached; 👉 Key structural level
Wednesday 13 May 2026 · /ES · 15m
5/13 Trade Plan
Bias · Bullish above 7,402 / Bearish below 7,402
Strong recovery → ATH rejection vs pullback continuation
Key levels
7,450–7,454Resistance · ATH / rejection zone
7,427–7,425Support · higher low support
7,410–7,402Support · major reclaimed support
Context
Yesterday’s hold at 7,363–7,370 was the key. ES filled the SPY gap, recovered hard, and reclaimed the important 7,402–7,410 zone. That flips the structure: 7,402–7,410 = major support now 7,425–7,427 = higher low support 7,450–7,454 = ATH rejection zone Right now, ES is stalling at ATH resistance, which is normal after a strong recovery move. Key idea: Pullbacks are bullish until 7,402 fails Above 7,454 = price discovery
B+ Setup
ATH Rejection
- Zone
- 7,450–7,454
- Trigger
- Push into highs; Weak continuation / rejection
- Target
- 7,427 → 7,410
- Invalidation
- Acceptance above 7,460
👉 Counter-trend trade only; 👉 Lower conviction than longs
A Setup
Breakout Above 7,454
- Zone
- Above 7,454
- Trigger
- Break and HOLD above ATH; No immediate rejection
- Target
- Price discovery / extension
- Invalidation
- Loss of 7,440
👉 Blue skies above here; 👉 Only if it proves
A Setup
Breakdown Below 7417
- Zone
- Below 7410
- Trigger
- Loss of support; Failed reclaim
- Target
- 7,370 → 7,350
- Invalidation
- Reclaim above 7,420
👉 Only downside trade worth taking; 👉 Structure shifts here
Confirmation
- 1️⃣ 15m acceptance at 7,425 or 7,454
- 2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
- 3️⃣ VWAP aligned
- 4️⃣ No chasing highs
- No emotional ATH chasing
- No random shorts into support
- No trading middle
Mindset
- Strong recoveries create emotional chasing
- Best trade = pullback into support
- Don’t fight bullish structure early
- One clean trade → done
- SPY (15 MIN)
- Right to the gap fill at 731.90, our exact level from yesterday. Pretty damn perfect. Let's look for pullback longs at the 738 level today for the best entry. If we reclaim the 740.79 ATH & turn it into a higher low, we continue higher today.
Best window
10–11:30AM
How it played out
The primary setup triggered and reached its first target.
triggered, then reached 7425. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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