★ Bullish Case
- Target
- 6,994 → 7,010
Primary setup: Pullback long between 6,958–6,963; Look for absorption and buyer defense
Wednesday 7 January 2026 · /ES · 1HR
1/7 Trade Plan
Bias · Bullish above 6,940 → Reactive at highs
Higher low confirmed → Retest > extension
Key levels
7,010Resistance · Upside expansion target
6,994Resistance · Prior high / reaction zone
6,963Support · → 6,958 — Ideal pullback / retest long zone
6,940Support · → 6,932 — Demand shelf
6,913Support · 20DMA + gap fill target
Context
The holds above 6,940 remain very clean, forming a higher low above last Friday’s high — a constructive bullish signal. While a gap still looms below, yesterday’s defense showed real strength and willingness to keep price elevated. Caution is warranted into 6,994. Acceptance above that level opens the door to 7,010.
Bearish Case
Shorts only make sense below 6,932; Acceptance lower opens a move into the 20DMA at 6,913; 🧩 SMART Confirmation (Required); 1️⃣ Directional candle — clean push, no overlap; 2️⃣ Delta confirms price (no divergence); 3️⃣ VWAP aligned with trade direction; 4️⃣ Absorption shows at your level, not mid-range; ⏳ Best execution window: 9:45–11:00 AM; 🚫 No chasing highs. No impatience trades.
Mindset
- No chasing highs.
- Let price come to your levels.
- Trade the retest — not the excitement.
How it played out
Not scored yet. Every plan is checked against what the market actually did, and nothing is edited after the fact.
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