★ Prime Setup
7363 Reclaim Long
- Trigger
- Acceptance back above 7363 after reclaiming Friday's low zone
- Target
- 7419 → 7437 → 7470
- Invalidation
- Loss of 7355 after reclaim
Wednesday 10 June 2026 · /ES
6/10 Trade Plan
Bias · Neutral → Bullish Above 7363 / Bearish Below 7355
Corrective Range / Key Reclaim Day
Key levels
7470–7476Resistance
7437Resistance
7419Resistance
7355–7363Support · ⭐
7270Support
50DMASupport
20DMAResistance
Context
ES continues to trade beneath the 20DMA after yesterday's clean rejection. The Friday low zone at 7355–7363 is now the primary battlefield. Buyers need to reclaim this area to shift momentum back higher. Until then, rallies into resistance remain vulnerable to failure. This remains a reaction market, not a momentum market. Focus on reclaims and failed retests rather than predicting direction.
A-Tier Setup
7270 Flush Reversal
- Trigger
- Extension lower into 7270 demand followed by strong reclaim
- Target
- Rotation back toward 7355–7363
- Invalidation
- Acceptance below 7270
B-Tier Setup
7355/7363 Pop & Fade
- Trigger
- Rally into 7355–7363 that fails to reclaim and holds below resistance
- Target
- Overnight lows → 7270
- Invalidation
- Acceptance above 7363
Avoid
- Chasing longs below 7363
- Trading the middle of the range without confirmation
- Assuming support holds on first touch
- Fighting strong momentum if 7270 breaks
Confirmation
- VWAP aligned above 7363 reclaim
- Delta confirms continuation through 7363
- Acceptance above Friday low structure (7355–7363)
- Break-and-retest holds after reclaim
- No first-touch chasing into 7419–7437 resistance
- NQ confirms strength before targeting 7470–7476
- SPY 15MIN
- Need a reclaim of Friday lows at 733.50. If we can reclaim that low, I like the upside towards overnight highs around 737.73. Above that, we could see the push back into the 744 supply. If we reject below Friday LOD, we see another move lower towards the 727 or lower at the 722 demand.
- 737 remains the line in the sand
- 741.20–742.80 is the immediate battle zone
- Above 743.20 improves continuation odds significantly
- Failed reclaim likely keeps SPY rotational/choppy today
How it played out
The primary setup triggered, then hit its invalidation.
triggered, then invalidated at 7355. Measured from m15 bars, ESM6, confirm entry, touch-based invalidation. Not a fill, and not a return: see how this is measured.
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