8/20 Trade Plan

8/20/20262 min read

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⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES (September Contract)

Bias: Neutral → Bullish Above 7739.50

Market Condition: Consolidation at Prior ATH

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES is holding just above 7718, but buyers haven't generated much follow-through. The key remains the same: 7718 is support; 7739.50 is the reclaim.

Hold 7718 → buyers can retest 7739.50 → 7764.50.
Lose 7718 → downside opens toward 7648.75–7632, with the 50 DMA at 7583.51 below.

📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
  • 7739.50 ⭐ Previous ATH

  • 7764.58

  • 7794–7800

🟩 Support
  • 7718 ⭐ Key Support

  • 7648.75–7632

  • 7583.51 — 50 DMA

⭐ Highest Probability — 7718 Hold Long

Trigger: 7718 holds with responsive buying and price reclaims toward 7739.50.

Target: 7739.50 → 7764.50

Invalidation: Acceptance below 7718.

🟢 Second Opportunity — 7739.50 Reclaim Long

Trigger: Clean reclaim and hold above the previous ATH.

Target: 7764.50 → 7794–7800

Invalidation: Failed reclaim back below 7739.50.

🟡 Only If — 7718 Failure Short

Trigger: Break below 7718 and failed retest.

Target: 7648.75 → 7632

Invalidation: Reclaim above 7718.

🔴 Avoid
  • Chasing longs directly into 7739.50.

  • Shorting the first test of 7718.

  • Trading the middle of 7718–7739.50 without confirmation.

🎯 Focus

7718 holds → 7739.50.
7739.50 reclaims → 7764.50.
7718 fails → 7648.75–7632.

Today's reminder: We're sitting on support beneath major resistance. Let one of those levels prove itself before committing.

Want to follow along with the setup?

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