NEW INDICATOR ALERT — SHOP TRADING TOOLS NOW
8/19 Trade Plan
8/19/20262 min read
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⚡ Trade Plan
Ticker: /ES (September Contract)
Bias: Neutral → Bearish Below 7718
Market Condition: Failed Support / Pullback
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
🧭 Context
ES sold off yesterday and is now trading below the 7718.75–7739.50 support zone, which was the previous ATH area.
Price is attempting to reclaim 7718–7720, but has not been able to hold above it. That makes this the key decision point today.
Reclaim and hold 7718 → 7739.50.
Fail 7718 → 7650 area, with the 20 DMA at 7646.30 as the next major support.
If that area fails, the next meaningful support is the 50 DMA at 7579.68.
📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
7718.75–7720 ⭐ Immediate Reclaim
7739.50 ⭐ Previous ATH
🟩 Support
7718.75–7739.50 ⭐ Key Reclaim Zone
7632–7646.30 ⭐ 20 DMA / Demand
7542.75–7563.50
7579.68 — 50 DMA
⭐ Highest Probability — 7718 Hold/Reclaim Long
Trigger: Reclaim 7718–7720, hold it as support, and show responsive buying.
Target: 7739.50
Invalidation: Acceptance back below 7718.
🟢 Second Opportunity — 7718 Failure Short
Trigger: Break below 7718 followed by a failed retest from underneath.
Target: 7650 → 7646.30
Invalidation: Reclaim above 7720.
🟡 Only If — 7632–7646.30 Support Long
Trigger: Deeper selloff into 7632–7646.30, followed by responsive buying and reclaim.
Target: 7718 → 7739.50
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7632.
🔴 Avoid
Chasing longs underneath 7718.
Shorting directly into 7632–7646 demand.
Assuming the previous ATH automatically becomes support again without a reclaim.
Getting overly focused on the 50 DMA unless the 20 DMA/demand fails first.
🎯 Focus
7718 is the decision point.
Hold/reclaim 7718 → 7739.50
Fail 7718 → 7650 → 20 DMA
20 DMA fails → 7579.68 / 50 DMA becomes the next major reference
The market is telling us whether yesterday's breakdown was a pullback or the start of a deeper rotation. Let 7718 prove i
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