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8/17 Trade Plan
8/17/20262 min read
🚨 NEW INDICATOR ALERT
👉 Learn more about High-Probability Reaction Levels
⚡ Trade Plan
Ticker: /ES (September Contract)
Bias: Bullish Above 7800
Market Condition: Pullback / Lower-High Test
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
🧭 Context
ES is testing the 7720 supply after pulling back from the highs. The key now is whether buyers can reclaim 7820 and turn that area into a higher low.
If we reclaim and hold 7820, the path opens back toward 7840. If buyers fail and 7794 breaks, the structure weakens and the market can rotate back toward 7740 demand.
7794 is the line in the sand.
📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
7820 ⭐ Reclaim Level
7840 ⭐ Upside Target
🟩 Support
7800 ⭐ Primary Demand
7794 ⭐ Line in the Sand
7740 ⭐ Major Demand
⭐ Highest Probability — 7800 Retest Long
Trigger: Pullback into 7800 holds with responsive buying.
Target: 7820 → 7840
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7794.
🟢 Second Opportunity — 7820 Reclaim Long
Trigger: Acceptance above 7820 followed by a successful retest.
Target: 7840
Invalidation: Failed reclaim back below 7820.
🟡 Only If — 7794 Failure Short
Trigger: Clean break below 7794 followed by a failed retest.
Target: 7740
Invalidation: Reclaim above 7794.
🔴 Avoid
Chasing directly into 7840.
Shorting while 7794–7800 continues to hold.
Trading the middle of the 7800–7820 structure without confirmation.
🎯 Focus
7800 holds → look for 7820 → 7840.
7820 reclaims and holds → continuation higher.
7794 fails → downside opens toward 7740.
Today's Reminder: 7820 is the reclaim. 7794 is the line in the sand. Let price prove which side wins.
Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.
Chart setup: RAIN Break + Retest Template
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