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8/14 Trade Plan
8/14/20262 min read
🚨 NEW INDICATOR ALERT
👉 Learn more about High-Probability Reaction Levels
⚡ Trade Plan
Ticker: /ES (September Contract)
Bias: Bullish Above 7800
Market Condition: Higher-Low Continuation
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
🧭 Context
ES continues to hold the prior ATH at 7739.50 as support. Yesterday's reclaim and hold of 7794–7800 created the next leg higher.
Today, 7800 is the key pullback level. Above that, buyers are trying to establish 7818–7820 as the next higher low and reclaim last week's Wednesday high.
If 7818–7820 holds, the next objective is PDH at 7838.50.
📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
7838.50 ⭐ PDH
ATH / Price Discovery Above
🟩 Support
7818–7820 ⭐ Higher-Low Zone
7794–7800 ⭐ Primary Pullback Support
7739.50 ⭐ Major Structural Support
⭐ Highest Probability — 7794–7800 Pullback Long
Trigger: Retest of 7794–7800 holds with responsive buying.
Target: 7818–7820 → 7838.50
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7794.
🟢 Second Opportunity — 7818–7820 Hold Long
Trigger: Pullback holds 7818–7820 and buyers reclaim.
Target: 7838.50 → ATH
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7818.
🟡 Only If — 7794 Failure Short
Trigger: Clean break below 7794 followed by a failed retest.
Target: 7739.50
Invalidation: Reclaim above 7794.
🔴 Avoid
Chasing directly into 7838.50/ATH.
Shorting while 7794–7800 continues to hold.
Forcing trades in the space between 7800 and 7818 without confirmation.
🎯 Focus
7800 holds → look for 7818–7820 and then 7838.50.
7818–7820 holds → higher low remains intact and buyers can continue higher.
7794 fails → downside opens back toward 7739.50
.
Today's Reminder: 7800 is the level. Respect the higher low, and let ES prove the next move.
Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.
Chart setup: RAIN Break + Retest Template


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