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8/13 Trade Plan
8/13/20262 min read
🚨 NEW INDICATOR ALERT
👉 Learn more about High-Probability Reaction Levels
⚡ Trade Plan
Ticker: /ES (September Contract)
Bias: Neutral Inside Range → Bullish Above 7800
Market Condition: Tight Consolidation
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
🧭 Context
ES remains trapped in the same 7718.75–7800 range we've been watching all week.
P-ATH at 7739.50 continues to act as an important level keeping the market higher, while 7800 continues to cap the upside.
The message today is simple: wait for ES to break outside the range.
Above 7800, the path opens toward the 7820 ATH. Below 7718.75, selling pressure can accelerate quickly toward 7650.
📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
7800 ⭐ Range High / Breakout Level
7820 ⭐ ATH
🟩 Support
7739.50 ⭐ P-ATH / Key Support
7718.75 ⭐ Major Demand / Bearish Trigger
7650 ⭐ Downside Target
⭐ Highest Probability — 7800 Break & Retest Long
Trigger: Clean break above 7800, followed by a successful retest and hold.
Target: 7820 ATH
Invalidation: Failed reclaim back below 7800.
Best opportunity today: Let ES prove the breakout, then look for the retest rather than chasing the initial move.
🟢 Second Opportunity — 7739.50 Support Hold Long
Trigger: Pullback into 7739.50 with responsive buying and confirmation that buyers are defending P-ATH.
Target: 7800
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7718.75.
🟡 Only If — 7718.75 Failure Short
Trigger: Clean break below 7718.75 followed by a failed retest as resistance.
Target: 7650
Invalidation: Reclaim above 7718.75.
🔴 Avoid
Trading the middle of the 7718.75–7800 range.
Forcing trades before the range breaks.
Chasing the first breakout candle without a retest.
Shorting while 7739.50 continues to hold.
Assuming the breakout direction before price confirms it.
🎯 Focus
Above 7800 → look for retest long → 7820 ATH.
7739.50 holds → buyers remain in control.
Below 7718.75 → selling pressure increases → 7650.
Inside the range → stay patient.
Today's Reminder: Same range, same game. Don't trade the noise in the middle. Let ES break, retest, and prove the direction.
Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.
Chart setup: RAIN Break + Retest Template
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