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7/24 Trade Plan
7/24/20262 min read
🚨 NEW INDICATOR ALERT
These High-Probability Reaction Levels automatically identify the key areas we analyze every morning:
✅ Liquidity reaction zones
✅ 20 / 50 / 100 / 200 Daily SMA levels
✅ Previous Day High & Low
✅ Market structure confluence areas
Instead of manually drawing levels, RAIN maps the areas where price is most likely to make decisions — helping you focus on where the market matters before the move happens.
👉 Learn more about High-Probability Reaction Levels
⚡ Trade Plan
Ticker: /ES (September Contract)
Bias: Neutral / Range Bound
Market Condition: Compression Inside Established Channel
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
🧭 Context
ES is currently rotating inside a defined range, with sellers watching the 7470–7480 supply area for a potential lower high while buyers continue defending support near 7404. Price action today will likely depend on whether sellers can reject the upper end of the range or buyers can reclaim resistance and push toward the 20 DMA (7530–7540).
Until ES breaks and holds outside the 7480 → 7400 channel, continue treating this as a level-to-level market. Avoid forcing trades in the middle of the range.
📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
7470–7480 ⭐ Supply / Lower High Formation Area
7530–7540 ⭐ 20 DMA / Recovery Target
🟩 Support
7415–7404 ⭐ Immediate Support / Breakdown Zone
7350–7330 ⭐ Major Demand Zone
100 DMA Area
⭐ Highest Probability — 7470–7480 Rejection Short (Supply Fade)
Trigger: Rejection from the 7470–7480 supply zone with sellers regaining control.
Target: 7415 → 7404
Invalidation: Acceptance and hold above 7480.
🟢 Second Opportunity — 7480 Break & Hold Long
Trigger: Break above 7480 followed by acceptance and a successful retest.
Target: 7530–7540 (20 DMA)
Invalidation: Failed reclaim back below 7480.
🟡 Only If — 7404 Breakdown Continuation
Trigger: Price loses 7404 and sellers maintain acceptance below support.
Target: 7350 → 7330 Demand Zone / 100 DMA
Invalidation: Reclaim back above 7404.
🔴 Avoid
Chasing longs into the 7470–7480 supply zone.
Shorting the first test of 7404 support.
Trading inside the 7480–7400 channel without confirmation.
Assuming a breakout before price proves acceptance.
🧩 RAIN Confirmation
🟣 VWAP aligned with trade direction.
🟣 Delta confirms participation through key levels.
🟣 Acceptance holds above 7480 for upside continuation.
🟣 Break-and-retest structure confirms the move.
🟣 No first-touch chasing into 7470–7480 supply or 7350–7330 demand.
Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.
Chart setup: RAIN Break + Retest Template
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