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7/23 Trade Plan
7/23/20262 min read
🚨 NEW INDICATOR ALERT
These High-Probability Reaction Levels automatically identify the key areas we analyze every morning:
✅ Liquidity reaction zones
✅ 20 / 50 / 100 / 200 Daily SMA levels
✅ Previous Day High & Low
✅ Market structure confluence areas
Instead of manually drawing levels, RAIN maps the areas where price is most likely to make decisions — helping you focus on where the market matters before the move happens.
👉 Learn more about High-Probability Reaction Levels
⚡ Trade Plan
Ticker: /ES (September Contract)
Bias: Neutral → Bullish Above 7535 / Bearish Below 7494
Market Condition: Range Compression
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
🧭 Context
ES continues to fail the 20 DMA and remains trapped inside a tight range. Price is now sitting directly on yesterday's low and Tuesday's low, making this today's battle zone. Expect liquidity grabs and traps here. Reclaim 7540 and buyers can challenge 7570 again. Lose yesterday's low and 7470 becomes the next objective.
📊 Key Levels
🟥 Resistance
7535 ⭐ 20 DMA / Decision Level
7578 ⭐ 50 DMA
7585–7600 Major Supply
🟩 Support
7494–7496 ⭐ Overnight Low / Intraday Pivot
7472–7496 ⭐ Major Demand
7472 (FOMC Low)
⭐ Highest Probability — 7535 Reclaim Long (20 DMA)
Trigger: Acceptance above 7535 followed by a successful retest.
Target: 7570 → 7578 (50 DMA) → 7600
Invalidation: Failed reclaim back below 7535.
🟢 Second Opportunity — 7494–7496 Hold Long
Trigger: Pullback into 7494–7496 support followed by responsive buying and reclaim.
Target: 7535 → 7570
Invalidation: Acceptance below 7494.
🟡 Only If — 7535 Rejection Fade
Trigger: Price rejects 7535 with failed acceptance and sellers regain control.
Target: 7496 → 7472
Invalidation: Acceptance above 7535.
🔴 Avoid
Chasing longs beneath the 20 DMA.
Shorting the first test of 7472–7496 demand.
Trading the middle of the range without confirmation.
Assuming trend continuation before 7600 is reclaimed.
🧩 RAIN Confirmation
🟣 VWAP aligned with trade direction.
🟣 Delta confirms participation through reclaimed levels.
🟣 Acceptance holds above 7535 for continuation.
🟣 Break-and-retest structure confirms the move.
🟣 No first-touch chasing into 7578–7600 supply.
Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.
Chart setup: RAIN Break + Retest Template
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