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6/10 Trade Plan

6/10/20262 min read

⚡ Trade Plan

Ticker: /ES
Bias: Neutral → Bullish Above 7363 / Bearish Below 7355
Market Condition: Corrective Range / Key Reclaim Day

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

ES continues to trade beneath the 20DMA after yesterday's clean rejection. The Friday low zone at 7355–7363 is now the primary battlefield. Buyers need to reclaim this area to shift momentum back higher. Until then, rallies into resistance remain vulnerable to failure.

This remains a reaction market, not a momentum market. Focus on reclaims and failed retests rather than predicting direction.

📊 Key Levels

🟩 Support

7355–7363 ⭐
7270
50DMA

🟥 Resistance

7419
7437
7470–7476
20DMA

⭐ Prime Setup — 7363 Reclaim Long

Trigger: Acceptance back above 7363 after reclaiming Friday's low zone

Target: 7419 → 7437 → 7470

Invalidation: Loss of 7355 after reclaim

🟢 A-Tier Setup — 7270 Flush Reversal

Trigger: Extension lower into 7270 demand followed by strong reclaim

Target: Rotation back toward 7355–7363

Invalidation: Acceptance below 7270

🟡 B-Tier Setup — 7355/7363 Pop & Fade

Trigger: Rally into 7355–7363 that fails to reclaim and holds below resistance

Target: Overnight lows → 7270

Invalidation: Acceptance above 7363

🔴 Avoid

Chasing longs below 7363
Trading the middle of the range without confirmation
Assuming support holds on first touch
Fighting strong momentum if 7270 breaks

🧩 RAIN Confirmation

🟣 VWAP aligned above 7363 reclaim

🟣 Delta confirms continuation through 7363

🟣 Acceptance above Friday low structure (7355–7363)

🟣 Break-and-retest holds after reclaim

🟣 No first-touch chasing into 7419–7437 resistance

🟣 NQ confirms strength before targeting 7470–7476

SPY 15MIN

Need a reclaim of Friday lows at 733.50. If we can reclaim that low, I like the upside towards overnight highs around 737.73. Above that, we could see the push back into the 744 supply. If we reject below Friday LOD, we see another move lower towards the 727 or lower at the 722 demand.

🟣 737 remains the line in the sand
🟣 741.20–742.80 is the immediate battle zone
🟣 Above 743.20 improves continuation odds significantly
🟣 Failed reclaim likely keeps SPY rotational/choppy today

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