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4/28 Trade Plan

4/28/20262 min read

Ticker: /ES
Timeframe: 30m
Bias: Neutral → Bullish above 7,159 / Bearish below 7,044
Theme: Post-run chop → failed overnight flush → holding support

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

We’ve now lost 7,170 cleanly, confirming the failed hold and shifting into active rotation lower.

Price is moving quickly into stacked demand zones:

7,141 → first reaction level
7,121 → stronger support (Mon LOD)
7,077 → major P-ATH (last line of defense)

On the upside:

7,173–7,185 = failure zone (prior support → now resistance)

This is no longer a “buy blindly” environment.

Key idea:

Market is in motion → let it hit levels and react
Don’t front-run

📊 Key Levels

🟩 Support
7,141 — first reaction
7,121 — strong support (Mon LOD)
7,077 — major support (P-ATH)

🟥 Resistance
7,173–7,185 — failure / short zone

🔴 A+ Setup — Bounce → Fail Short (Primary)

Zone: 7,173–7,185

Trigger
Bounce into resistance
Weak continuation / rejection

Targets
7,141
7,121

Stop Acceptance above 7,200

Notes:
👉 This is the cleanest trade right now
👉 Support → resistance flip

🟢 A Setup — Reaction Long at 7,121

Zone: 7,121

Trigger
Flush into level
Strong reaction / buyers step in

Targets
7,160
7,173

Stop
Acceptance below 7,100

Notes:
👉 Stronger than 7,141
👉 Needs clear reaction

🟢 B+ Setup — Early Bounce at 7,141

Zone: 7,141

Trigger
Quick reaction / stall

Targets
7,160

Stop Acceptance below 7,120

Notes:
👉 Faster / weaker level
👉 Don’t overstay

🟢 A+ Setup — Major Dip Buy

Zone: 7,077

Trigger
Flush into P-ATH
Strong reaction

Targets
7,120
7,170

Stop Acceptance below 7,050

Notes:
👉 Best long if reached
👉 Structural level

🧩 RAIN Confirmation

1️⃣ 30m acceptance at 7,119 or 7,159
2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
3️⃣ VWAP aligned
4️⃣ No trading middle

⏳ Best window: 10–11:30AM

🚫 No trading inside 7,125–7,145
🚫 No forcing trades
🚫 No reacting to overnight spike emotionally

🧠 Mindset Notes

This is range + failed breakdown → not trend
Best trades = support hold or reclaim
Overnight move already happened → don’t chase
One clean trade → done

SPY (30MIN)

SPY failed to hold above the Fri HOD & the overnight high around 715.38. This is now the new potential fail spot. Need to see us reclaim Friday HOD for interest in upside. Demand levels below are still in tact. I would not short unless the SPY is below 711.29. SPY stronger than QQQ.

Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.