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4/22 Trade Plan

4/22/20262 min read

Ticker: /ES
Timeframe: 30M
Bias: Neutral → Bullish above 7,160 / Bearish only below 7,044
Theme: Post-run chop → trade edges only, avoid middle

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

After the push to highs, ES is now rotating sideways.
Overnight range: 7,119–7,147, currently sitting inside it.

Key shift:

This is no longer trend → it’s a channel
Market is digesting the move
Most traders lose money here trying to force direction

Structure still matters:

7,160 = reclaim for continuation
7,077 (P-ATH) = best dip-buy zone
7,044 = only real breakdown

Key idea:

Chop environment → wait for edges
No edge in the middle

📊 Key Levels

🟩 Support
7,119 — overnight low
7,077 — prior ATH (A+ long)
7,044 — breakdown trigger

🟥 Resistance
7,147 — overnight high
7,160 — reclaim / continuation
7,185 — ATH

🟢 A+ Setup — Dip Buy at Prior ATH (Primary)

Zone: 7,077

Trigger
Flush into level
Strong reaction / hold

Targets
7,120
7,160

Stop Acceptance below 7,050

Notes:
👉 This is the best trade on the board
👉 Clean location + trend alignment

🟢 A Setup — Reclaim 7,160

Zone: Above 7,160

Trigger
Break and HOLD above
Acceptance, not a wick

Targets
7,185

Stop Loss of 7,130

Notes:
👉 This is your continuation trade
👉 Only if it proves

🔴 A Setup — Breakdown Below 7,044

Zone: Below 7,044

Trigger
Loss of structure
Failed reclaim

Targets
7,000
6,950

Stop Reclaim above 7,080

Notes:
👉 Only short worth taking
👉 Everything else is chop

🧩 RAIN Confirmation

1️⃣ 30m acceptance at 7,077 or 7,160
2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
3️⃣ VWAP aligned
4️⃣ No middle trades

⏳ Best window: 10–11:30AM

🚫 No trading inside 7,120–7,145
🚫 No forcing trades in chop
🚫 No revenge trading

🧠 Mindset Notes

This is a chop day → protect profits
Your edge = waiting, not trading
If it’s not obvious → it’s not yours
One clean trade → done

SPY (15MIN)

The 702 demand held strong. Previous highs from Thur of last week. We need to see a flip back above the 710 supply for upside continuation. If we can do that, we run for ATH again. Pullback longs still holding. Look for a higher low to form over Fri LOD & Mon LOD around 706. As long as we're above P-ATH, I remain bullish.

Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.