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4/21 Trade Plan
4/21/20262 min read
Ticker: /ES
Timeframe: 15M
Bias: Bullish → Bearish only below 7,120
Theme: Trend continuation → buy pullbacks, not breakouts
🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.
Best trade today?
👉 7,150 hold → long
That’s it.
Everything else?
You getting bored and forcing it.
🧭 Context
We’ve reclaimed 7,150–7,160 and are holding above it, pushing back toward 7,185 (ATH).
That’s the shift:
Yesterday = range
Today = trend continuation attempt
As long as we hold 7,150, buyers are in control and dips are opportunities.
Below 7,120, we rotate—but that’s still pullback, not reversal unless structure really breaks.
Key idea:
Trend is up → position on pullbacks
Not waiting for breakout
📊 Key Levels
🟩 Support
7,160–7,150 — primary hold (A+ level)
7,120 — deeper pullback
🟥 Resistance
7,185 — ATH
🟢 A+ Setup — Pullback Hold Long (Primary Trade)
Zone: 7,160–7,150
Trigger
Pullback into level
Holds clean + higher low
Targets
7,185
→ extension (trail runners)
Stop Acceptance below 7,130
Notes:
👉 This is the trade
👉 This is where trend pays
👉 If this doesn’t set up → you wait
🟢 B+ Setup — Deeper Pullback Long
Zone: 7,120
Trigger
Flush lower
Strong reaction
Targets
7,160
7,185
Stop Acceptance below 7,090
Notes:
👉 Backup plan
👉 Still trend-aligned
🔴 S Setup — Failed Structure (Only Short Worth Taking)
Zone: Below 7,120
Trigger
Break and fail to reclaim
Weak bounce
Targets
7,077
Stop Reclaim above 7,150
Notes:
👉 This is NOT a primary trade
👉 This is “if market breaks” only
👉 No anticipation
🧩 RAIN Confirmation
1️⃣ 15m acceptance at 7,150
2️⃣ Clean reaction (no chop entries)
3️⃣ VWAP aligned
4️⃣ Trade extremes only
⏳ Best window: 10–11:30AM
🚫 No breakout chasing at 7,185
🚫 No shorting strength
🚫 No trading middle
🧠 Mindset Notes
You are in a trend → act like it
Your job = wait for the dip
If it doesn’t come → you don’t trade
One trade is enough
SPY (15MIN)
If we can maintain above 709 today, we see the ATH test. Above ATH, continuation is possible. If we fail below 709, we could see the Friday LOD test again. Strong holds at 705/706 all day yesterday.
Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.
Chart setup: RAIN Break + Retest Template
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