Unlock exclusive discounts on trading tools!

4/15 Trade Plan

4/15/20262 min read

Ticker: /ES
Timeframe: 30M
Bias: Bullish → Bearish only below 6,930
Theme: At highs → buy pullbacks or fade failed highs

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

Price is pushing into 7,027 (4HR highs) after a strong move up. Trend is clearly bullish, but we are now at extension, not ideal long location.

The goal today is simple:

Buy pullbacks into value (6,950 / 6,900)
Or react if highs fail

Above 7,027 opens continuation toward ATH (~7,077), but only if it accepts, not just wicks.

Key idea:

Trend is up → don’t chase highs
Wait for pullback or confirmed breakout

📊 Key Levels

🟩 Support
6,950–6,930 — primary pullback
6,900–6,870— 100DMA / deeper support

🟥 Resistance
7,027 — current high
7,077 — ATH

🔴 B+ Setup — Rejection at Highs

Zone: 7,027

Trigger
Push into highs
Clear rejection / failure

Targets
6,980
6,950

Stop
Acceptance above 7,050

Notes:
👉 Counter-trend scalp only
👉 Don’t overstay

🟢 A+ Setup — Pullback Long (Primary)

Zone: 6,950–6,930

Trigger
Pullback into support
Clean hold + higher low

Targets
7,027
7,077

Stop
Acceptance below 6,900

Notes:
👉 Best trade on the board
👉 Buy value, not extension

🟢 B+ Setup — Deeper Pullback Long

Zone: 6,900–6,870

Trigger
Flush into 100DMA
Strong reaction

Targets
6,950
7,027

Stop
Acceptance below 6,850

Notes:
👉 Stronger support
👉 Requires patience

🔴 A+ Setup — Breakdown Below 6,930

Zone: Below 6,930

Trigger
Loss of support
Failed reclaim

Targets
6,900
6,880

Stop
Reclaim above 6,970

Notes:
👉 This is the only real bearish shift
👉 Opens deeper pullback

🧩 RAIN Confirmation

1️⃣ 30m acceptance at 6,930 or 7,027
2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
3️⃣ VWAP aligned
4️⃣ No chasing highs

⏳ Best window: 10–11:30AM

🚫 No longs at highs
🚫 No chasing breakouts without hold
🚫 No trading middle

🧠 Mindset Notes

Trend is strong → respect it
Best trades = pullbacks, not tops
If it doesn’t pull back → let it go
One clean trade → you’re done

SPY (30MIN)

Major daily highs between 695.29/698.96... this is also the ATH. I would like to see us back to 690 today for a retest long. If we fail the 690, we move into the Monday high at 686.70. Under that, we get our clean downside towards Thur/Fri HOD. Love the 100DMA sitting below action as a pullback long.

Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.