Unlock exclusive discounts on trading tools!

4/14 Trade Plan

4/14/20262 min read

Ticker: /ES
Timeframe: 30M
Bias: Neutral → Bullish above 6,964 / Bearish below 6,888
Theme: Extended into 6,950 supply → wait for pullback or confirmed breakout

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

Price is pushing into 6,950 supply, approaching a key extension area after a strong move higher. This is not where you want to initiate fresh longs.

The better opportunity is a pullback into the 100DMA (6,876–6,888), where buyers can step back in. If that fails, we rotate into 6,850 (prior high / strong support).

Above, only a clean break and hold above 6,964 opens continuation toward 7,018.

Key idea:

Extended at highs → don’t chase
Wait for pullback or confirmed breakout

📊 Key Levels

🟩 Support
6,888–6,876 — 100DMA / primary long zone
6,850 — prior high / secondary support

🟥 Resistance
6,950 — supply
6,964 — breakout trigger
7,018 — extension

🟢 A+ Setup — Pullback Long (Primary)

Zone: 6,888–6,876

Trigger
Pullback into 100DMA
Clean hold + higher low

Targets
6,950
6,964

Stop
Acceptance below 6,850

Notes:
👉 This is the best trade today
👉 Buy value, not highs

🟢 B+ Setup — Deeper Pullback Long

Zone: 6,850

Trigger
Flush into prior high
Strong reaction

Targets
6,900
6,950

Stop
Acceptance below 6,820

Notes:
👉 Stronger support
👉 Requires patience

🔴 B+ Setup — Failure Below 100DMA

Zone: Below 6,876

Trigger
Loss of support
Failed reclaim

Targets
6,850

Stop
Reclaim above 6,900

Notes:
👉 Scalp only
👉 Counter to overall strength

🟢 A+ Setup — Breakout & Hold

Zone: Above 6,964

Trigger
Break and HOLD above supply
No immediate rejection

Targets
7,018

Stop
Loss of 6,930

Notes:
👉 Only if it proves
👉 Don’t chase a wick

🧩 RAIN Confirmation

1️⃣ 30m acceptance at 6,876 or 6,964
2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
3️⃣ VWAP aligned
4️⃣ No chasing highs

⏳ Best window: 10–11:30AM

🚫 No longs into 6,950 supply
🚫 No trading middle
🚫 No early entries

🧠 Mindset Notes

This is an extension → pullback day
Best trade = buy the dip, not the top
If it doesn’t pull back → let it go
One clean trade → you’re done

SPY (30MIN)

Right into our 688/690 target here in the overnight session. I would need to see a pullback towards the 680/682 demand below. Retest the Thur/Fri highs. If we fail that, we trade back to the 100DMA.

That hold at 678 was really the cleanest hold of the day! Beautiful reclaim of the 100DMA.

Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.