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⚡ RAIN x Break + Retest Trade Plan — 4/1/26

4/1/20262 min read

Ticker: /ES
Timeframe: 5M
Bias: Neutral → Bullish above 6,680 / Bearish below 6,552
Theme: Grind into resistance → react, don’t predict

🛡️ Trade Less. Demand Confirmation. Protect Accounts.

🧭 Context

We’re holding above 6,552, which keeps the grind higher intact.
Above 6,680, we push into major resistance (20D → 200D).

This is a prove-it move into supply, not a chase environment.

📊 Key Levels

🟩 Support
6,552 — hold or fail

🟥 Resistance
6,680 — decision level
6,700 — extension / trap zone

🔴 A+ Setup — Pop & Fade (Primary)

Zone: 6,680 → 6,700

Trigger
Push into resistance
Clear rejection

Targets
6600

6552

Stop Acceptance above 6,710

Notes: This remains the best trade: Extended move + HTF resistance = sell strength

🟢 A+ Setup — Pullback Long (ONLY if obvious)

Zone: 6552

Trigger
Hold + clean reaction

Targets
6,680

Stop Loss of 6540

Notes: If it’s real, it bounces clean. No chop.

🧩 RAIN Confirmation

1️⃣ 15m acceptance at key levels
2️⃣ Reaction at extremes only
3️⃣ VWAP aligned
4️⃣ No chasing

⏳ Best window: 10–11:30AM

🚫 No Trade Zone

If price is between 6,580–6,650
→ You do nothing

No exceptions.

🧠 Mindset Notes

Trading accounts → protect first, trade second
You only need ONE trade
If it’s not obvious → it’s not yours
Missing a trade > forcing a trade

🛑 Kill Switch

Hit your trade → log it + walk away
No second trade
No “let me try again”

SPY (30min)

Would like to see pullback at the 642.50/641 level. This would be ideal entry. Holds over 648.50/650 are also very important. Major daily low we've reclaimed there. Over 657, we likely see the 20/200DMA at 663. Under 648.50, we see downside pressure.

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