⚡ RAIN x Break + Retest Trade Plan — 02/12/26

Ticker: /ES
Timeframe: 30 Min
Bias: Neutral → Same structure, same game plan
Theme: 7,000 ceiling still in play → Pullback preferred

🧭 Context

No changes. Literally.

7,000 is still tough.
Structure is still intact.
We’re still sitting under resistance without a proper reset.

I’m not interested in being aggressive long into 7,000. If we’re going higher, it should come from a better entry — not hope.

The cleanest idea remains:
👉 Pull back
👉 Retest 6,920 / 20–50DMA
👉 Let buyers prove it

If that fails, the LVN below opens up.

📊 Key Levels

🟩 Support / Demand

• 20 / 50 DMA — First reaction zone

• 6,920 — Monday low / key pivot

• 6,870 — 100DMA / LVN destination

🟥 Resistance / Supply

• 7,000–7,006 — Psych wall

• 7,030–7,043 — ATH test zone

🟢 A+ Setup — Pullback Long (Preferred)

Zone: 20/50DMA → 6,920
Trigger:

• Controlled pullback

• Rejection wicks at support

• Delta stabilizes

• No clean acceptance below 6,920

Targets:

• 7,000

• 7,006

• Extension: 7,030

Stop:

• Acceptance below 6,920

Notes:
Let it come in.
If buyers defend, that’s your fuel for a real break attempt.

🔴 Breakdown Setup — LVN Fill Short

Zone: Acceptance below 6,920
Trigger:

• Clean break

• Failed reclaim

• Lower high forms

• Delta negative

Targets:

• 6,886

• 6,870 (100DMA)

Stop:

• Reclaim above 6,920

Notes:
Below 6,920 the market likely moves quickly — thin area underneath.
That’s where shorts make sense.

🟡 Breakout Scenario (Only If Earned)

Zone: Acceptance above 7,006
Trigger:

• Strong close above

• No immediate rejection

• Buyers sustain above level

Targets:

• 7,030

• 7,043

Stop:

• Back below 7,000

Notes:
No chasing. It must accept, not just tag.

🧩 RAIN Confirmation

1️⃣ Directional candle
2️⃣ Delta confirms
3️⃣ VWAP aligned
4️⃣ Reaction at the level — not mid-range

⏳ Best window: 10–11:00 AM
🚫 No mid-channel trades.

🧠 Mindset Notes

Nothing changed — so don’t invent something.

Above 7,006 → continuation.
Below 6,920 → rotation lower.
Between them → patience.

Sometimes discipline is just repeating the same plan until price forces an update.

SPY (30Min)

Nothing changes for me here... wide range, expect volatility between it. Only moves that matter would be a break & hold below the 50DMA at 687.50 or a hold over ATH at 699.

Want to see how I spot setups like this? Check out the template and follow along daily for my trade plans.

• Chart setup: RAIN Break + Retest Template